On-chain data reveals that Bitcoin's 2024 halving overlaps with the 2016 cycle, and the 2025 bull market may reach its peak

According to the latest on-chain data analysis, after unifying the timeline of Bitcoin's halving cycle in 2024 and 2016, it shows a high degree of similarity in market performance. By adjusting the relative height of the bear market bottom (in 2015 and 2018), the market trend after the halving shows a strong historical resonance phenomenon, providing a reference framework for price expectations in 2025.

 

Data interpretation:

Halving node (black line represents the 2024 cycle, red line represents the 2016-2020 cycle):

From the chart, it can be seen that the rhythm of the rapid rebound of prices after the halving is surprisingly similar, especially within about a year after the halving, the upward paths of the two curves almost coincide.

Potential high point in 2025:

If the historical pattern continues, combined with the supply slowdown caused by the halving effect, the high point of the bull market in 2025 may impact the price level of 1.97 million dollars.

 

Data points:

The continuity of the current price trend: The market performance remains strong after the halving, and historical data suggests that prices may further rise.

The supply and demand logic of the halving effect: The supply reduction caused by each halving, combined with market demand, usually enters a period of price explosion after one year.

Market uncertainty: We need to be vigilant about potential disruptions in the macroeconomic environment and policies.

 

Although historical data provides some reference for predicting future trends, changes in external environment and macro variables may bring additional impacts. Whether the market performance after the 2024 halving can create new price highs as shown in history still needs time to verify.